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Oct 4, 2012
10/12
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WMPT
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mike's right that this created an opportunity for romney. he's also right that romney performed better than his campaign has performed recently. but let's remember what most of the problems that romney has had recently. his campaign's been not that great. the president's team has defined him in a negative way with millions dollars of advertising and so far. he's been a rotten candidate. the things that have really hurt him before his 47% statement, his reaction to libya the stuff that happened to europe. there's a variety of things that happened and it's all about his bad candidate skills. so the part i want to agree with mike about is, he has a huge opportunity going forward but it's not the campaign or not only the campaign that has the opportunity. what the spotlight's going to be on tomorrow is, is the mitt romney that we saw last night in this debate who seems not like the mitt romney we've seen for the last six months, is that mitt romney the mitt romney we see tomorrow. do we see a new reinvigorated mitt romney. is he now putting a fo
mike's right that this created an opportunity for romney. he's also right that romney performed better than his campaign has performed recently. but let's remember what most of the problems that romney has had recently. his campaign's been not that great. the president's team has defined him in a negative way with millions dollars of advertising and so far. he's been a rotten candidate. the things that have really hurt him before his 47% statement, his reaction to libya the stuff that happened...
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Oct 2, 2012
10/12
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WMPT
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this advertising the romney camp is doing, how effective it is? >> for one thing they're far behind in terms of spanish language ads, far behind the obama campaign. they've only spent about half as much as the obama campaign had. that number has rampd up dramatically. they say they're going to do a full ad blitz in the last month. they introduced a new ad today which attacks president obama for leaving a $6 trillion national they say for the children and grandchildren. they talk about, this is the spanish-language ad, they talk about how this is going to be a debt they're going to have to pay. they've also come up with some ads where they talk, where you have hispanic voters talking about why they feel disappointed in president obama. where they feel that his promises were not kept. so those are some of the things we're starting to see from them. things that seem a little bit more artful, that some analysts have told me that they think actually are more on the mark, might have more resonance with the hispanic community >> woodruff: very quickly. c
this advertising the romney camp is doing, how effective it is? >> for one thing they're far behind in terms of spanish language ads, far behind the obama campaign. they've only spent about half as much as the obama campaign had. that number has rampd up dramatically. they say they're going to do a full ad blitz in the last month. they introduced a new ad today which attacks president obama for leaving a $6 trillion national they say for the children and grandchildren. they talk about,...
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Oct 3, 2012
10/12
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WMAR
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both candidates right now, mitt romney and barack obama, no doubt, very nervous. i'm nervous, just looking at that picture. diane? >> okay, jake. i will see you tonight for the big event. and i want to bring in co-anchor of "good morning america" and anchor of "this week," my co-anchor tonight, george stephanopoulos. such a night after this long road. what are these two men thinking right now? >> reporter: probably exactly the same thing. tonight, don't take the other guy's bait. play your game. but there is more pressure on mitt romney tonight. you look at the polls right now, he's behind nationally, probably behind even more in the battleground statements. he needs a circuit breaker and he probably has to do something that gives people that say right now they're voting for the president, to give him a second look. >> give all of us a viewer's guide to what they are prepped to do. >> reporter: watch for almost every time mitt romney gets a question, he will try to turn it back to president obama's record. and make president obama bear responsibility for the econo
both candidates right now, mitt romney and barack obama, no doubt, very nervous. i'm nervous, just looking at that picture. diane? >> okay, jake. i will see you tonight for the big event. and i want to bring in co-anchor of "good morning america" and anchor of "this week," my co-anchor tonight, george stephanopoulos. such a night after this long road. what are these two men thinking right now? >> reporter: probably exactly the same thing. tonight, don't take the...
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it's interesting that they would call that the smirk because romney -- gerri: right there. >> yes, romney's the one famous for the smirk. it's like they are trying to turn the tails saying, look what obama did now. he does smirk, but his smirk is a tightening of the mouth, his way of saying i don't agree with you, and roleny keeps that smirk on the face all the time. both need to work on the neutral expression. that means what do i look like when the other person is speaking so i don't look frustrated or angry. gerri: what are you supposed to do? >> a natural expression, rather than the jaw tensioned up, just have a neutral expression like you are listening. gerri: i like the blink rates. >> typically, what happens when we are anxious, fight or flight kicks in, we blink, get emotionally aroused if you will. the regular rate is anywhere from 17-20 blinks per minute. on tv, upwards of the 40-50 times. once we feel pressure, it goes up in in the debates, obama blinked more than romney did in this situation, but that's the first debate. romney blinks less overall. gerri: yes. i've seen numbers
it's interesting that they would call that the smirk because romney -- gerri: right there. >> yes, romney's the one famous for the smirk. it's like they are trying to turn the tails saying, look what obama did now. he does smirk, but his smirk is a tightening of the mouth, his way of saying i don't agree with you, and roleny keeps that smirk on the face all the time. both need to work on the neutral expression. that means what do i look like when the other person is speaking so i don't...
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Oct 5, 2012
10/12
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is that right? >> i think it's premature in the sense in 1980 ronald reagan was running a bad campaign by lots of standards. he made a comment that trees pollute and that didn't go over well. he did say that. i'm serious. he made lots of other gaffes, but he went on to be president beating carter by quite a bit. i think romney is looking for a message. he produced a huge number of ads looking for something. maybe something comes out of the debate. this electorate is pretty hardened, and obama should be up by a point or two given the economy. that's where we are. so romney has not run a great campaign so far, but maybe this debate provides a springboard. we'll see. >> we will see. john gear, thank you very much. >> thank you. >> all the focus is on the candidates this month. october is also important for another reason. it's got something to do with this. >> we can handle gimpy and the at that rant at that heads, because our invitation was not based on barf and mike and molly as part of the crew. >>
is that right? >> i think it's premature in the sense in 1980 ronald reagan was running a bad campaign by lots of standards. he made a comment that trees pollute and that didn't go over well. he did say that. i'm serious. he made lots of other gaffes, but he went on to be president beating carter by quite a bit. i think romney is looking for a message. he produced a huge number of ads looking for something. maybe something comes out of the debate. this electorate is pretty hardened, and...
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Oct 7, 2012
10/12
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KRCB
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that is the new focus on the right. romney was making that point. >> forgive me. that is it a complete misinterpretation. i sat there with all due respect. >> you do not have all due respect for me. >> go ahead. >> hospitality. >> you are eating up time here. ok, it is my turn to talk now. >> there is a distinction -- you overlook the distinction. tax rates and tax revenue. when romney is saying -- how plane can i make it? we are going to cut rates. we are not going to reduce the amount of revenue. exactly as what happened in 1986 with the reagan tax reform. you cut the rates, you eliminate deductions, and you end up with the same amount of revenue. it is what was recommended in the commission that obama had appointed. >> there is study after study after study that says even if he succeeded in doing that, it is not enough to achieve the targets we're talking about. what is interesting is, you never ar romney say, no new taxes. you do not hear him say that. >> colby? >> he proposes a 20% across-the- board tax cuts. >> marginal tax rate. >> alternative minimum tax.
that is the new focus on the right. romney was making that point. >> forgive me. that is it a complete misinterpretation. i sat there with all due respect. >> you do not have all due respect for me. >> go ahead. >> hospitality. >> you are eating up time here. ok, it is my turn to talk now. >> there is a distinction -- you overlook the distinction. tax rates and tax revenue. when romney is saying -- how plane can i make it? we are going to cut rates. we are...
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Oct 6, 2012
10/12
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WETA
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said this on television, but need is right. she actually stumbled on the truth. obama is not a good debater. it is not that obama was off his game. that is his game. he does not have a prompter, he is not good. you see this in press conferences, where he does not have a prompter. he had never been good at press conferences. he rambles, the press is always unimpressed with him. this was a situation where yet more control of the debate, because he picks the questionnaire, and he can decide how long he wants to take for the answer. his only advantage in the next debate will be this. it will be in a town hall. he has got more ability to connect with an audience than romney. he will have an advantage in the second debate that he did not have been the first. >> would you rather be good or lucky? 7.8% unemployment rate. that is pretty good news. >> unless you look at the actual numbers. if you look at those with new jobs, about 114,000. you have to have 150,000 to stay at the same rate. what has been happening is you have people leavi
said this on television, but need is right. she actually stumbled on the truth. obama is not a good debater. it is not that obama was off his game. that is his game. he does not have a prompter, he is not good. you see this in press conferences, where he does not have a prompter. he had never been good at press conferences. he rambles, the press is always unimpressed with him. this was a situation where yet more control of the debate, because he picks the questionnaire, and he can decide how...
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Sep 30, 2012
09/12
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CNN
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is romney on the right path to get back in the race? ♪ (train horn) vo: wherever our trains go, the economy comes to life. norfolk southern. one line, infinite possibilities. but proven technologies allow natural gas producers to supply affordable, cleaner energy, while protecting our environment. across america, these technologies protect air - by monitoring air quality and reducing emissions... ...protect water - through conservation and self-contained recycling systems... ... and protect land - by reducing our footprint and respecting wildlife. america's natural gas... domestic, abundant, clean energy to power our lives... that's smarter power today. but with advair, i'm breathing better. so now i can be in the scene. advair is clinically proven to help significantly improve lung function. unlike most copd medications, advair contains both an anti-inflammatory and a long-acting bronchodilator working together to help improve your lung function all day. advair won't replace fast-acting inhalers for sudden symptoms and should not be
is romney on the right path to get back in the race? ♪ (train horn) vo: wherever our trains go, the economy comes to life. norfolk southern. one line, infinite possibilities. but proven technologies allow natural gas producers to supply affordable, cleaner energy, while protecting our environment. across america, these technologies protect air - by monitoring air quality and reducing emissions... ...protect water - through conservation and self-contained recycling systems... ... and protect...
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Oct 1, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWS
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republican senate, right? without that, is it safe to say that the health care law will stand and will grow? >>guest: without a house, senate, and a president that want to actually drive down the things that cause health care to cost too much in this country, we are not going to get to afford am health care we call it obamacare, even the democrats but the fact is it was called the affordable health care act and it did nothing to make health care affordable but did a lost spending of other people's money on health care. that doesn't actually drive down the cost. to drive down the cost of health care, we have to deliver it intelligently and do some things that were in obamacare. quite frankly, we have to deal with the things that drive up the cost, trying to fine people for coming back to the hospital that incentivizes the hospitals to send them out too soon. that sends a wrong message. it is not the doctors and hell indicator professionals making a fair evaluation but the heavy hand government. >>neil: thank yo
republican senate, right? without that, is it safe to say that the health care law will stand and will grow? >>guest: without a house, senate, and a president that want to actually drive down the things that cause health care to cost too much in this country, we are not going to get to afford am health care we call it obamacare, even the democrats but the fact is it was called the affordable health care act and it did nothing to make health care affordable but did a lost spending of other...
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Sep 29, 2012
09/12
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CSPAN
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romney could come in right in that range and lose. it is bound to participate -- precipitate a conversation. one said this the last time anyone will try to do this, is simply a national majority on the back of white voters. it is unrealistic to ask them the existing coalition is so dependent on those who are uneasy with the change, and they are paralyzed. they have to reach out to hispanics. the republican platform says that any state that provide in- state tuition should be barred from all federal education money. every white kid in texas cannot get a pell grants. that is what they are grappling with versus if you talked to carl rove in understanding that we have a way to reach out to hispanics. they have a leash. if obama wins, it is hard to imagine that conversation. >> what are you saying in your polling? >> absolutely. it is all consistent. you were talking about the way the parties in the media have been talking about the women's vote. it drives me crazy you. talking about the educational difference, there is no women's vote. wh
romney could come in right in that range and lose. it is bound to participate -- precipitate a conversation. one said this the last time anyone will try to do this, is simply a national majority on the back of white voters. it is unrealistic to ask them the existing coalition is so dependent on those who are uneasy with the change, and they are paralyzed. they have to reach out to hispanics. the republican platform says that any state that provide in- state tuition should be barred from all...
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Oct 1, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWSW
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what does he think of the romney ryan ticket? he will answer that and more. >> this is a view of new york from 57th and 5th. tiffany's right here. you have the skating rink in central park right outside. often times i have people sitting in my office they are looking at the view they don't know what i am saying. they have no idea what i am saying. that's a great time to make a deal with them. ♪ [ male announcer ] this is karen and jeremiah. they don't know it yet, but they're gonna fall in love, get married, have a couple of kids, children laughing ] move to the country, d live a long, happy life together where they almost never fight about money. [ dog barks ] because right after they get married, they'll find some retirement people who are paid on salary, not commission. they'll get straightforward guidance and be able to focus on other things, like each other, which isn't rocket science. it's just common sense. from td ameritrade. c'mon0manp just do it,quick.ú no one's watchingp you0have to if you want to hang with0us ♪mu
what does he think of the romney ryan ticket? he will answer that and more. >> this is a view of new york from 57th and 5th. tiffany's right here. you have the skating rink in central park right outside. often times i have people sitting in my office they are looking at the view they don't know what i am saying. they have no idea what i am saying. that's a great time to make a deal with them. ♪ [ male announcer ] this is karen and jeremiah. they don't know it yet, but they're gonna fall...
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Oct 3, 2012
10/12
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MSNBCW
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i have talketo several of my right wingriends who when romney's tape came out said i wish romney talked like this more often they are able to say thi cae they never lived on government assistance. they he lived on corporate welfare, but tn't hey doe that as the se thing. for people who have lived on government assistance, it can be a soul-crushing thing. for stance, unemployment. i've been on unempyment. othepe debilitating feeling to know you're not contributing at that moment. anthe idea that that's your preferd state of being just shows the lack of understanding th people like romney and ryan have for people who are that situation. an that enables them to provide for their family rather than feeling like ty are some type of leech. it's doubly insulting en ty are then told on this onal stage, hey, you're in rough me in ur life. nolyre you in a rough time, but you' a leech on societ >> the phrasing, they are not exact parallel phrasin but romney saying es cannot be persuaded to take responsibility for their liv. and ryan saying they do t believe the american dream. similar parall langu
i have talketo several of my right wingriends who when romney's tape came out said i wish romney talked like this more often they are able to say thi cae they never lived on government assistance. they he lived on corporate welfare, but tn't hey doe that as the se thing. for people who have lived on government assistance, it can be a soul-crushing thing. for stance, unemployment. i've been on unempyment. othepe debilitating feeling to know you're not contributing at that moment. anthe idea that...
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Oct 2, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWSW
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that was the recovery summer of 2010. >> but romney -- there were a whole lot of people right now who want to vote for romney. want to vote against obama. but they don't want to vote for romney because of all the negatives obama's piled on them which has not been answered. they're sitting on one side waiting for permission to jump over and vote for romney. in the debate, that he's not a monster, that he's a man of integrity and defending himself on this stuff, can absolutely encourage them to jump over and make it possible for them to do that. >> sean: what a joke all weekend, watching the obama people trying to lower expectations. >> yeah, right. >> sean: 2-1. >> let's par remember that most debates work in favor of the challenger. the challenger walks on and does a good job, like reagan did against carter, all the fears of him go away. carter against gerald ford in 1976. mondale against reagan in the first debate. >> sean: yeah. >> the challenger has an innate advantage in these debates, because he can show that he's not a monster, that he's informed, that he's okay, that he's reaso
that was the recovery summer of 2010. >> but romney -- there were a whole lot of people right now who want to vote for romney. want to vote against obama. but they don't want to vote for romney because of all the negatives obama's piled on them which has not been answered. they're sitting on one side waiting for permission to jump over and vote for romney. in the debate, that he's not a monster, that he's a man of integrity and defending himself on this stuff, can absolutely encourage...
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Oct 6, 2012
10/12
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MSNBCW
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what's so fascinating about the reception to this on the right is that romney substancetively moved to the left, no question, and it's also the moment that he's been most embraced by the right. >> exactly. >> the reason is this, the thing conservatives care the most about is pissing off liberals. the thing that makes them happiest is when liberals are angry at you. if you infuriate liberals by moving to the left and confounding their beloved president, they're going to love you. they don't care. >> one more thing, they don't really worry that he would actually do what he says. >> that's the other thing. that is the big question. >> they know that once he gets elected he'll move back to the right but not as far right as he was during the primaries. >> at least they think so. >> they think so. >> the larger question, is anyone going to change their opinion based on this quote, unquote, lackluster performance by the president. if you supported him, you might be disappointed, calling joy wondering what happened but you're still going to vote for the president. >> it's the undecided. >> who
what's so fascinating about the reception to this on the right is that romney substancetively moved to the left, no question, and it's also the moment that he's been most embraced by the right. >> exactly. >> the reason is this, the thing conservatives care the most about is pissing off liberals. the thing that makes them happiest is when liberals are angry at you. if you infuriate liberals by moving to the left and confounding their beloved president, they're going to love you....
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Oct 2, 2012
10/12
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MSNBC
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that's why they won't do it, right? romney won't tell us what he's getting rid of it because if he's getting rid of it, he's killing charitable organizations that need the money from charity. you start capping that, start messing around with people's mortgages, the one thing they need to build up some capital and personal worth. you mess with state and local. are you supposed to move if you live in new york or a high tax state like massachusetts, you're supposed to move because romney got elected? >> listen, his tax cut plan is going to slam about 68% of the american people, not 47% of the american people. he can't provide real details. you could close every single loophole that benefits the wealthy and just close it for the wealthy and it wouldn't pay for a fraction of the tax cut he's giving the wealthy. >> because they're still getting ahead. >> reducing capital gains to zero which means romney would pay virtually zero taxes. he's going to come back and say i want to work this out with the congress. well, i just don'
that's why they won't do it, right? romney won't tell us what he's getting rid of it because if he's getting rid of it, he's killing charitable organizations that need the money from charity. you start capping that, start messing around with people's mortgages, the one thing they need to build up some capital and personal worth. you mess with state and local. are you supposed to move if you live in new york or a high tax state like massachusetts, you're supposed to move because romney got...
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Oct 2, 2012
10/12
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CURRENT
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you say, mitt romney is not the progressive, you're right. who cares. the media is not going to call that out. if mitt romney did a full attack on president obama from a progressive perspective, that would actually work, and he would get to say i care about the middle class this guy obviously doesn't. how would he do it? let me show you the numbers, we have 8.1% unemployment. if you add in the 8.2 million under employed, and the 2.5 million people who say they would love a job but are discouraged and not looking any more you actually got 23 million people in this country who want a job and who can't get one. i say, president obama what did you do? you said you're for the middle class but that's 23 million people looking for a job and you didn't give them one. you may say that sounds fairly standard. let's get more into the numbers. i would go to the food stamp program. there are 46.7 million people on food stamps. that is up 46% since president obama took office. unlike the republicans, i wouldn't go out and say, you're the food stamp president. i would
you say, mitt romney is not the progressive, you're right. who cares. the media is not going to call that out. if mitt romney did a full attack on president obama from a progressive perspective, that would actually work, and he would get to say i care about the middle class this guy obviously doesn't. how would he do it? let me show you the numbers, we have 8.1% unemployment. if you add in the 8.2 million under employed, and the 2.5 million people who say they would love a job but are...
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the romney campaign, just happened just at the right moment for them to capitalize on something. knowing you have five weeks left. there's a couple of turns left. >> the next presidential debate, tuesday, october 16th. >> thanks, rick. >> thank you, guys. >>> again, we extend our thanks to rick klein for that. we'll have much more from the abc political team coming up in a little while on "good morning america." >>> now, turning overseas to breaking news from along the border between turkey and syria. for a second-straight day, turkish artillery has opened fire on syria's targets. that's in retaliation for the syrian shelling of a turkish town yesterday. turkey says the shelling was a warning, not a declaration of war. >>> a huge fire is finally out at the nation's largest petroleum production complex. it took crews nearly four hours to extinguish the blaze. now, investigators are trying to figure out exactly what caused that fire. >>> and a sports note. miguel cabrera of the detroit tigers is baseball's first triple crown winner since 1967. that means he led the american league
the romney campaign, just happened just at the right moment for them to capitalize on something. knowing you have five weeks left. there's a couple of turns left. >> the next presidential debate, tuesday, october 16th. >> thanks, rick. >> thank you, guys. >>> again, we extend our thanks to rick klein for that. we'll have much more from the abc political team coming up in a little while on "good morning america." >>> now, turning overseas to breaking...
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Oct 5, 2012
10/12
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CNBC
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i think of romney doing well in debate. right. talk about regime change in iran potentially because of the protests. >> that's the big one. >> that's the big one. elections in venezuela this weekend which may be -- >> that could be next week's -- >> next week's big one. three situation wrgs you could see a lot more supply coming on the market no, >> on the crude side we're amply supplied and we're there right now and probably gets bigger next year. there's a lot more coming out of iraq. so, we've had a big insecurity premium in the price of oil for most of this contemporary. $15 to $20. that gets eroded over the next three to four months. >> crude at 89 bucks in november. >> we test into the 80s, low 80s and 70s before it's over. >> how long will that take? >> within the next three to six months. >> wow. >> the problem is, and i don't disagree necessarily, again i don't think it means gasoline prices will go lower as we just discussed. the trade has been, pete's talked about it, we mentioned it a few times, refiners work, vol vola
i think of romney doing well in debate. right. talk about regime change in iran potentially because of the protests. >> that's the big one. >> that's the big one. elections in venezuela this weekend which may be -- >> that could be next week's -- >> next week's big one. three situation wrgs you could see a lot more supply coming on the market no, >> on the crude side we're amply supplied and we're there right now and probably gets bigger next year. there's a lot...
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Oct 1, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWSW
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what does he think of the romney ryan ticket? he will answer that and more. >> this is a view of new york from 57th and 5th. tiffany's right here. you have the skating rink in central park right outside. often times i have people sitting in my office they are looking at the view they don't know what i am saying. they have no idea what i am saying. that's a great time to make a deal with them. a stunning work of technology. introducing the entirely new lexus es. and the first-ever es hybrid. this is the pursuit of perfection. trick question. i love everying about this count! including prilosec otc. you know one pill each morning treats your frequent heartburn so you can enjoy all this grt land of ours has to offer like demolition derbies. and drive thru weddings. so if you're one of those people who gets heartburn and then treats day after day, block the acid with prilosec otc and don't get heartburn in the first pla. [ male announcer ] one pill each mornin hours. zero heartburn. >> welcome back. we continue with donald trump. i l
what does he think of the romney ryan ticket? he will answer that and more. >> this is a view of new york from 57th and 5th. tiffany's right here. you have the skating rink in central park right outside. often times i have people sitting in my office they are looking at the view they don't know what i am saying. they have no idea what i am saying. that's a great time to make a deal with them. a stunning work of technology. introducing the entirely new lexus es. and the first-ever es...
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Oct 3, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWS
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they're breaking for him 56-2 right now. while men favor romney 52-42. no question the obama campaign is targeting the ladies. >> i find such a champion in president obama and which is why i passionately support him, specifically because i'm a woman. >> he also has the story that i can tell my daughter because it shows that no matter where you start out, you can work hard and you can do whatever you put your mind to. >> it's a story that touches me and one that is very familiar to me with how i was raised, you know, and our mom was a single parent. she had spectacular dreams for herself and us girls. >> bill: with us now, fox news analyst monica crowley and alan colmes. where are women breaking for the president? >> barak obama is leeing hugely among unmarried women, but among married women, romney is actually leading by 6 to 8 points. that being said, the president does have overall a big lead among women and i think it's largely because he is had enormous success in trying to get women's attention after 2010. in 2008, he won women bay big majority. dem
they're breaking for him 56-2 right now. while men favor romney 52-42. no question the obama campaign is targeting the ladies. >> i find such a champion in president obama and which is why i passionately support him, specifically because i'm a woman. >> he also has the story that i can tell my daughter because it shows that no matter where you start out, you can work hard and you can do whatever you put your mind to. >> it's a story that touches me and one that is very...
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Oct 5, 2012
10/12
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MSNBC
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i mean, this is where the campaign is right now, isn't it? >> well, it's tough to get a sense of where they are, you know, because there hasn't been really good reporting about what they were thinking going into that debate. i think e.j.'s right. on one hand they didn't want to come off as sort of the aggressor. so the trajectory is in obama's favor. keep in mind if you look at the map, he has to win ohio, wisconsin and iowa and keep the states he won -- and keep the kerry map. he'll end up the next president of the united states. they have a very easy path to victory. they didn't want to upset the trajectory. i think if you have a few more moments like this you wonder if that could be complicated. the other thing, 60-million-plus people watched the debate last night. the most people who tuned into the debate since 19912. i don't think the obama campaign should feel comfortable taking that for granted. >> well, exactly. i think, you know, lies are believed by some people. i mean, how effective is a good salesman even if he's lying left and ri
i mean, this is where the campaign is right now, isn't it? >> well, it's tough to get a sense of where they are, you know, because there hasn't been really good reporting about what they were thinking going into that debate. i think e.j.'s right. on one hand they didn't want to come off as sort of the aggressor. so the trajectory is in obama's favor. keep in mind if you look at the map, he has to win ohio, wisconsin and iowa and keep the states he won -- and keep the kerry map. he'll end...